The grand finale of IPL 2025 is finally here– and the buzz of the match is increasing. At the Narendra Modi Stadium RCB will face PBKS, while both the teams are aiming to lift their 1st IPL trophy.
The betting community has also charged up, as both the teams are completely new to the history of the final of IPL. From the IPL toss prediction to the 1st innings betting tips, all the things have become essential. In this blog we will discuss the toss winner and first innings bets for IPL 2025- and what the stats stay for the final match of RCB vs PBKS.
RCB vs PBKS – Head to Head
To understand the final match verdict, it is important to understand RCB PBKS H2H record. Over the years, we have seen some tight contests.
| Head to Head Record Table | |||
| Matches Played | RCB Wins | PBKS Wins | Tie/No Result |
| 36 | 18 | 18 | 0 |
This IPL historical stats is proof of neither of them having a historical advantage over the other. However, when focusing on IPL 2025, RCB takes the upper hand, having won 2 out of 3 meetings this season against PBKS — including a commanding victory in Qualifier 1. But PBKS regained their form in Qualifier 2 with a thrilling run-chase, displaying their pressure game.
Ahmedabad’s Narendra Modi Stadium: Toss & Pitch Analysis
One of the world’s biggest stadiums, the Narendra Modi Stadium provides a distinct playing field and has hosted numerous high-scoring IPL 2025 matches. Knowledge about its pitch behavior is integral to creating an IPL 2025 betting strategy, particularly in relation to the IPL toss prediction and first innings bets.
| Factor | Data (General IPL) | IPL 2025 Trend |
| Total Matches Played | 43 | 7 |
| Teams Batting First Wins | 21 | 6 |
| Teams Batting Second Wins | 22 | 1 |
| Average First Innings Score | 177 | 221 |
| Pitch Type | Red/Black Soil Mix | High batting support |
Explanation:
Although the past statistics (43 matches) indicate a virtually equal win ratio, IPL 2025 has changed comprehensively in the direction of rewarding teams batting first.
The first innings average score of 221 in 2025 certifies a batting-friendly surface, perfect for achieving huge totals.
A solitary successful chase this season shows batting second under pressure at this ground is hazardous, particularly in high-pressure matches like the final.
The Importance of the Toss in IPL Finals
Although toss results may seem arbitrary, IPL historical statistics for finals reveal how captains have used it to their benefit.
Toss Results in Previous IPL Finals:
| Year | Toss Winner | Toss Decision | Match Result |
| 2009 | RCB | Field | Lost |
| 2011 | CSK | Bat | Won |
| 2016 | SRH | Bat | Won |
In all of RCB’s previous finals, chasing hasn’t worked for them — they’ve lost each final where they’ve had to chase a predetermined target. This statistic, along with the latest Ahmedabad pitch conditions, indicates RCB is likely to opt to bat first if they do get to toss in 2025.
RCB in IPL Finals: Toss vs Outcome
RCB has experienced heartbreaks in all three of their final appearances — and there’s a visible trend:
RCB’s Final History:
| Year | Opponent | Toss Decision | First Innings Score | Result |
| 2009 | Deccan Chargers | Field (by RCB) | 143 (target) | Lost by 7 runs |
| 2011 | CSK | Field (by CSK) | 205 (target) | Lost by 58 runs |
| 2016 | SRH | Field (by SRH) | 208 (target) | Lost by 8 runs |
This easily indicates a chasing jinx for RCB in IPL finals. It would logically follow that Faf du Plessis should bat first if he gets to choose whether to play or field first, particularly with the recent pitch providing minimal solace for chasing sides.
PBKS’s Strategic Flexibility
PBKS has not reached a final since 2014 but their Qualifier 2 triumph, in which they chased 204 against Mumbai Indians, has put them on a roll. Captain Shreyas Iyer has demonstrated versatility, and PBKS’s batting squad is capable enough to tackle massive targets.
But this victory was also a deviation from the Ahmedabad trend. Just one chased out of seven games — and that too by home team Gujarat Titans.
IPL 2025 Betting Tips: Toss Winner & First Innings Strategy
So, what do all these figures and stories tell us from a betting perspective? Let’s analyze:
1. IPL Toss Prediction: Who Holds the Edge?
If RCB wins toss → Likely to bat first, keeping in mind their recent failure when chasing.
If PBKS wins toss → More adaptable. Might choose to chase considering their success in Qualifier 2, but they’ll also consider Ahmedabad’s toss pattern of preferring batting first.
Tip: Bet on RCB choosing to bat if they win the toss. PBKS is a riskier toss choice considering adaptability.
2. RCB vs PBKS First Innings Tips
When we are talking about RCB vs PBKS first innings tips, you need to remember that:
Ahmedabad has witnessed 6 out of 7 matches falling in favor of teams batting first in IPL 2025.
Average first innings score = 221, well over the IPL average.
Look for powerplay attacking batting and one or more top-order batters going big.
Tip: Place a bet on 200+ first innings score, particularly if RCB is batting first.
Individual bets can be placed on RCB top-order runs (e.g., Faf du Plessis, Virat Kohli) if they’re establishing the target.
3. Betting Trends IPL Final: What History Indicates
Finals usually suit teams batting first and creating scoreboard pressure.
Finals are more difficult to chase due to pitch wear, nerves, and pressure.
RCB never won a final — all three losses occurred when chasing above 140 targets.
Tip: Back team batting first to win the match, whoever wins the toss — except PBKS chasing a sub-190 total.
These are the key things to note on betting trends in the IPL final.
4. IPL 2025 Betting Strategy Summary
| Scenario | Recommended Bet |
| RCB wins toss | RCB to bat first |
| PBKS wins toss | PBKS can chase, moderate risk |
| RCB batting first | 200+ total, bet on RCB top batsmen |
| PBKS batting first | 190+ likely, look at total runs bet |
| Team batting first in final | Likely match winner |
Final Thoughts
The IPL 2025 Final between RCB and PBKS is not merely a war of form and firepower — it’s a battle of tactics in which the toss has the potential to swing the result. The IPL toss prediction, when combined with the stats of the venue and historical information, provides a considerable advantage to teams who choose to bat first.
RCB’s past trauma with chasing, combined with Ahmedabad’s high-scoring first innings trend, means batting first could be the game-winning decision. For those making smart plays in IPL 2025 betting, keeping a close eye on the toss and first innings odds will be crucial.
Whether you’re backing a team, placing a bet on first innings totals, or just enjoying the cricket, remember: In finals, stats matter. And tosses win titles.
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